Post of 1-01-2023
Like many observers, the Financial Times (FT), London suggested last year that Vladimir Putin will not invade Ukraine, but call for 2022 proved wrong. In all, five FT predictions for 2022 missed the mark. FT writers’ 2023 predictions are:
*Will there be a ceasefire in Russia’s war in Ukraine? #No
*Will there be blackouts in Europe due to gas shortfall? #Yes
*Will the Fed start to cut interest rate? #No
*Will Rishi Sunak will be UK PM by the year-end? #Yes
*Will the Erdogan era come to an end in June elections? #No
*Will Joe Biden stand for President again? #Yes
*Will Donald Trump be indicted? #Yes
*Will the protest in Iran end? #No
*Will China invade or blockade Taiwan? #No
*Will China restore economic growth to more than 5%? #Yes
*Can Japan’s yield curve control survive? #Yes
*Will there will be string of debt defaults in Africa? #Yes
*Will S&P 500 fall by at least 10%? #Yes
*Will Twitter survive? #Yes
*Will another cryptocurrency business fail? #Yes
*Will US women team retain the football World Cup? #No
*Will any big streaming Platforms sell or merge? #No
*Will JP Morgan CEO announce his successor? #No
*Will the global temperature reach the 1.5 C threshold? #No